According to @cz_binance, a new prediction market has launched on BNB Chain where funds used to make predictions will generate yield rather than remain idle, indicating a yield-bearing collateral model for on-chain traders (source: @cz_binance on X, Dec 3, 2025). @cz_binance added that the project’s founder is a former Binance employee and that the initiative is incubated/invested by YZiLabs, while emphasizing the post is not an endorsement, which is a material disclosure for risk-aware market participants (source: @cz_binance on X, Dec 3, 2025). For trading strategy, the yield-accruing design can affect effective net returns during active positions in prediction markets on BNB Chain, making the APY on posted funds a key variable alongside market odds and settlement timeline (source: @cz_binance on X, Dec 3, 2025).

According to @CoinMarketCap, prediction market platform Kalshi closed a $1 billion funding round led by Paradigm with participation from Sequoia, Andreessen Horowitz and ARK Invest, setting its valuation at $11 billion.

According to @ai_9684xtpa on X (Dec 3, 2025), UnifAI ($UAI) has joined Polymarket’s 1M Builders Program and is listed as a Top 10 project on the Builders leaderboard (source: https://twitter.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/1996200078403657976). According to @ai_9684xtpa and the UnifaiNetwork official announcement on X, UnifAI is running an AI agent trading competition on Polymarket with 60,000 UAI in prizes, featuring individual ROI ranking and team trading-volume ranking, with final winners sharing all UnifAI revenue from the Polymarket Builders program (sources: https://twitter.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/1996200078403657976; https://x.com/UnifaiNetwork/status/1995501928739188981). According to @ai_9684xtpa, more projects are shifting campaigns to Polymarket as prediction markets heat up to tap dense capital flows and mature infrastructure, highlighting venue liquidity and incentive alignment for active traders (source: https://twitter.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/1996200078403657976). According to the UnifaiNetwork announcement on X, content creators can also participate under the event’s detailed rules provided in the official post (source: https://x.com/UnifaiNetwork/status/1995501928739188981).

According to @StockMKTNewz, he purchased a Yes position at $0.48 on Kalshi’s market asking whether Bitcoin BTC will cross above $100K this year on Dec 3, 2025, signaling a time-bound bet on a year-end six-figure break, source: @StockMKTNewz on X. At $0.48, Kalshi pricing implies roughly a 48% probability and pays $1 per Yes if the event occurs by the contract’s deadline, yielding $0.52 gross profit per contract and about 2.08x gross return if it resolves Yes, source: Kalshi. If the event does not occur by resolution, the Yes settles at $0, putting the $0.48 stake at risk; traders can also close before expiry at the prevailing market price, source: Kalshi. This sets $100,000 as the binary settlement trigger for BTC into year-end 2025, focusing traders on risk-reward and timing around that level, source: @StockMKTNewz on X.

According to @Polymarket, Nasry Tito Asfura has taken the lead in the Honduras presidential election, with the market showing a 67% chance he wins, source: @Polymarket on X, Dec 1, 2025. This 67% figure is the current Polymarket-implied probability that traders can reference for event-driven positioning as odds update in real time, source: @Polymarket on X, Dec 1, 2025.

According to the source, a leading prediction market says it now has permission to directly onboard U.S. customers, brokerages, and market intermediaries (source: the platform’s announcement referenced by the source tweet dated November 25, 2025). This permission explicitly covers both retail and institutional channels, signaling broad U.S. market access that is relevant for trading liquidity and participation once onboarding begins (source: the platform’s announcement referenced by the source tweet dated November 25, 2025).

According to @0xjatkins, Myriad could deliver "another 10x growth in the next 3 months," and the author is calling for a prediction market to price those odds, source: X post by @0xjatkins on Nov 24, 2025 https://twitter.com/0xjatkins/status/1993106023167803471. The post also warns price action "might be all one way," indicating potential directional crowding and limited two-sided liquidity that traders should factor into execution and risk controls, source: X post by @0xjatkins on Nov 24, 2025 https://twitter.com/0xjatkins/status/1993106023167803471. For trading, the signal is elevated bullish sentiment and interest in market-based odds around Myriad, which could influence positioning, liquidity provisioning, and hedging if a prediction market becomes available, source: X post by @0xjatkins on Nov 24, 2025 https://twitter.com/0xjatkins/status/1993106023167803471.

According to the source, prediction market Myriad reached a $100 million milestone after growing roughly 10x over the past three months, as disclosed in a social post dated November 24, 2025 (source: social post, Nov 24, 2025). The post did not clarify whether the $100 million refers to total value locked, cumulative trading volume, or open interest, and it did not specify the underlying chain or any token exposure (source: social post, Nov 24, 2025). For trading decisions, contextualize the reported 10x growth by tracking follow-up disclosures on metric definitions, daily active users, fee revenue, market depth, and spread quality on Myriad versus peer prediction markets, anchored to the source-reported milestone (source: social post, Nov 24, 2025).

According to @nic__carter, Polymarket moved Donald Trump’s winning odds higher ahead of the election, a repricing that he says proved correct despite claims that whales were intentionally bidding the market up (source: @nic__carter). For trading, sharp repricing in Polymarket’s implied probabilities around headline events can be treated as a real-time signal for positioning and liquidity management in on-chain prediction markets (source: @nic__carter). Traders should track order book depth, spread changes, and the velocity of odds moves on Polymarket during news cycles to identify edge and manage risk (source: @nic__carter).

According to @CoinMarketCap, TechCrunch reports that prediction market platform Kalshi raised $1 billion in a funding round led by Sequoia Capital and CapitalG, bringing its valuation to $11 billion (source: TechCrunch via @CoinMarketCap). Traders tracking the prediction markets sector can use Kalshi’s $11 billion valuation as the latest private-market benchmark reported by TechCrunch for event-trading platforms (source: TechCrunch via @CoinMarketCap).

According to @StockMKTNewz, TechCrunch reported that Kalshi has reportedly raised $1 billion at an $11 billion valuation. Source: @StockMKTNewz tweet on November 20, 2025; Source: TechCrunch as cited by @StockMKTNewz.

According to Altcoin Daily, Polymarket pricing shows a 28% and rising probability that BTC will trade below $80k before year-end 2025, based on Polymarket market odds cited by Altcoin Daily. Altcoin Daily reports that these odds are trending higher on Polymarket, indicating increasing bearish sentiment among Polymarket participants that traders may monitor as a market-implied risk signal. Altcoin Daily’s update, sourced to Polymarket data, highlights prediction market probabilities as a timely sentiment gauge for BTC around the $80k threshold.

According to @CoinMarketCap, Polymarket has become Yahoo Finance’s exclusive prediction market partner, bringing its probability data to over 150 million monthly visitors (source: @CoinMarketCap on X, Nov 13, 2025). @CoinMarketCap also states the platform is tracking toward record monthly volumes, indicating elevated trading activity within Polymarket’s markets (source: @CoinMarketCap on X, Nov 13, 2025).

According to @EmberCN, the LOL S15 Grand Final BO5 is tied 2-2 and the deciding game will determine the champion, source: @EmberCN. According to @EmberCN, on Polymarket the largest T1 backer staked $1.58M for a potential $2.40M payout if T1 wins, implying an average entry of about $0.658 per $1 payout and a 52% return on stake, source: @EmberCN. According to @EmberCN, the largest KT backer staked $1.41M for a potential $3.44M payout if KT wins, implying an average entry of about $0.410 per $1 payout and a 144% return on stake, source: @EmberCN. According to @EmberCN, the referenced positions are visible at polymarket.com/@fengdubiying and polymarket.com/@bossoskil?tab=positions for verification, source: @EmberCN.

According to @cryptorover, Polymarket traders now predict the U.S. government shutdown will extend until November 20, identifying Nov. 20 as the key date to monitor for event-risk timing in crypto markets (source: @cryptorover).

According to @burrytracker, the post shares a direct Polymarket market link without additional context, providing no stated odds, prices, or directionality in the tweet itself, source: @burrytracker on X, Nov 8, 2025. Traders should open the referenced Polymarket market to review live implied probabilities, 24h trading volume, liquidity depth, expiration date, and resolution criteria before taking any positions, source: Polymarket. Because the tweet does not disclose the market’s current price or bias, any trade setup should be driven by the market’s displayed price action, spreads, and order flow on Polymarket, source: @burrytracker on X; Polymarket.

According to the source, odds on Polymarket currently imply a 48% probability that BTC reaches a seven-figure price, i.e., $1,000,000 per coin, based on active prediction market pricing (source: Polymarket). This corresponds to a fair value near 0.48 USDC per yes-contract for binary exposure to the event, which traders can use as a benchmark for positioning or relative-value plays (source: Polymarket). Comparing your own probability to 48% helps size long-dated BTC upside bets or hedges in options and structured products when market odds deviate from your view (source: Polymarket). Tracking shifts in Polymarket odds, liquidity, and volume can flag changing sentiment that may precede flows in BTC spot and derivatives markets (source: Polymarket).

According to @garyblack00, Polymarket assigns a 91% probability that Tesla (TSLA) shareholders will approve Elon Musk’s new pay package today, offering a market-implied benchmark for traders tracking this vote, source: Gary Black on X (Nov 6, 2025).

According to @StockMKTNewz, Kalshi markets assign a 63% probability that Alex Karp or Palantir (PLTR) will say the word 'lethal' on tomorrow's earnings call, indicating the event is more likely than not based on prediction market odds. source: @StockMKTNewz on X (Nov 2, 2025). A 63% quoted likelihood frames this as a binary, time-bound event tracked by a real-money prediction market, providing a quantified sentiment gauge ahead of the PLTR earnings call. source: @StockMKTNewz on X (Nov 2, 2025). The source does not reference any direct cryptocurrency market impact from this event, noting only the earnings call language probability for PLTR. source: @StockMKTNewz on X (Nov 2, 2025).

According to @PANewsCN, Polymarket founder Shayne Coplan said that following DraftKings’ acquisition of CFTC-regulated Railbird, if DraftKings launches a prediction market, Polymarket Clearing will be its designated clearinghouse (source: @PANewsCN). According to @PANewsCN, this move will advance Polymarket’s B2B business by providing clearing services tied to a CFTC-regulated entity (source: @PANewsCN).